Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.114961 0.123403 0.132147 0.141887 0.152439 0.163532 0.176087
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.099695 0.111914 0.125216 0.140800 0.158593 0.178313 0.201882
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.090144 0.104278 0.120188 0.139480 0.162313 0.188564 0.221158
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.081809 0.096924 0.114400 0.136185 0.162730 0.194173 0.234457
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077938 0.094315 0.113703 0.138477 0.169465 0.207175 0.256888
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.072614 0.089477 0.109852 0.136446 0.170474 0.212868 0.270172
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068359 0.085628 0.106883 0.135170 0.172126 0.219175 0.284261
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063688 0.080948 0.102545 0.131789 0.170715 0.221249 0.292636
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060313 0.077723 0.099851 0.130313 0.171589 0.226184 0.304884
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057948 0.075671 0.098536 0.130518 0.174608 0.233995 0.321306
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054925 0.072582 0.095674 0.128442 0.174329 0.237168 0.331238
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052687 0.070436 0.093954 0.127800 0.175929 0.242919 0.345003
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052062 0.070508 0.095312 0.131579 0.184051 0.258443 0.374126
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049805 0.068225 0.093318 0.130527 0.185193 0.263980 0.388736
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047674 0.066013 0.091308 0.129317 0.185983 0.268944 0.402616
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045125 0.063098 0.088164 0.126289 0.183891 0.269443 0.409505
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044315 0.062638 0.088511 0.128395 0.189559 0.281869 0.435727
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042392 0.060475 0.086283 0.126529 0.189043 0.284710 0.446656
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040788 0.058718 0.084574 0.125357 0.189512 0.289048 0.460167
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038751 0.056238 0.081692 0.122250 0.186781 0.288143 0.464846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037301 0.054586 0.079989 0.120893 0.186744 0.291514 0.476827
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036334 0.053629 0.079297 0.121081 0.189173 0.298959 0.496099
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034890 0.051890 0.077341 0.119173 0.188084 0.300520 0.505163